{"id":25540,"date":"2013-08-24T22:20:16","date_gmt":"2013-08-24T20:20:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/?p=25540"},"modified":"2013-08-24T22:20:16","modified_gmt":"2013-08-24T20:20:16","slug":"%c2%bftenia-rusia-razon-sobre-la-primavera-arabe-russia-was-right-about-the-arab-spring","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/?p=25540","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfTen\u00eda Rusia raz\u00f3n sobre la primavera \u00e1rabe?.Russia was right about the Arab spring?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u00bfTen\u00eda Rusia raz\u00f3n sobre la primavera \u00e1rabe?<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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Russia <\/span><\/strong>was<\/span><\/strong> right about the Arab spring?<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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Las predicciones sobre el caos econ\u00f3mico y pol\u00edtico y los conflictos religiosos que causar\u00eda la primavera \u00e1rabe, expuestas por los expertos rusos cuando esta comenz\u00f3, parecen haber sido m\u00e1s acertadas que las de Occidente, seg\u00fan la revista ‘Forbes’.
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M\u00e1s de dos a\u00f1os y medio despu\u00e9s de que estallaran las primeras protestas en El Cairo, manifestantes pac\u00edficos siguen\u00a0muriendo<\/a> a diario en las calles de Egipto<\/strong>, lo que sugiere que, en general, los pesimistas han sido m\u00e1s precisos que los optimistas en sus pron\u00f3sticos sobre la revuelta \u00e1rabe, afirma Mark Adomanis, autor del art\u00edculo publicado en la revista ‘Forbes’. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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Cuando esta se inici\u00f3 y durante su desarrollo, el contenido general de la cobertura rusa difiri\u00f3 radicalmente de la de Occidente. Mientras que los analistas acad\u00e9micos e independientes rusos mostraron un profundo escepticismo desde el principio<\/strong>, los occidentales se centraron \u00abcasi exclusivamente en el poder redentor de las elecciones<\/strong> y las posibilidades que ofrece la participaci\u00f3n popular en el Gobierno\u00bb, apunta el art\u00edculo. <\/span><\/p>\n

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Numerosos an\u00e1lisis de las revueltas de Egipto<\/a> escritos en 2011 daban a entender que simplemente reemplazando a\u00a0Hosni Mubarak<\/a> se resolver\u00edan los problemas del pa\u00eds<\/strong>. Sin embargo, nadie sugiri\u00f3 c\u00f3mo estos problemas se solucionar\u00edan, resalta. <\/span><\/p>\n

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El autor asegura que no deber\u00edamos estar sorprendidos por la actual violencia y el caos que vemos en las calles. Es m\u00e1s, considera que, dado el estado ca\u00f3tico de la econom\u00eda de Egipto, las divisiones religiosas y la inmadurez de sus instituciones pol\u00edticas, \u00abhabr\u00eda sido nada menos que un milagro\u00bb que el pa\u00eds \u00abno hubiera terminado en un desastre total<\/strong>\u00ab. <\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00abMuchos menospreciaron totalmente cualquier an\u00e1lisis ruso sobre la primavera \u00e1rabe<\/strong>\u00ab, afirma el art\u00edculo, que sostiene que es err\u00f3neo asumir que si un an\u00e1lisis vaticina que algo vaya a suceder signifique que el autor del mismo as\u00ed lo desee. <\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00abNo quiero que Egipto se encuentre en un estado perpetuo de violencia e inestabilidad<\/strong>, pero siempre me pareci\u00f3 que este ser\u00eda el resultado m\u00e1s probable\u00bb, se\u00f1al\u00f3. <\/span><\/p>\n

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Para concluir, afirma que, teniendo en cuenta los terribles resultados de la primavera \u00e1rabe hasta la fecha, deber\u00edamos ser un poco m\u00e1s esc\u00e9pticos sobre los movimientos\u00a0pol\u00edticos<\/a> y estar m\u00e1s predispuestos a escuchar distintas opiniones acerca del tema.
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Predictions about the economic and political chaos and religious conflicts which the Arab spring, could cause exposed by Russian experts when this began, seem to have been more <\/span>successful<\/span> than those of the West, according to ‘Forbes’ magazine.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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More than two years and a half after that exploded the first protests in Cairo, peaceful demonstrators continue to die daily in the streets of Egypt, which suggests that, in general, the pessimists have been more accurate than the optimistic in their forecasts about the Arab revolt, says Mark Adomanis, author of the article published in the magazine ‘Forbes’.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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When this began and during its development, the overall content of the Russian coverage differed radically from the West. While academic analysts and independent Russian showed a deep skepticism from the beginning, Westerners focused \u00abalmost exclusively in the redemptive power of the elections and the possibilities offered by popular participation in the Government\u00bb, says the article.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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Numerous revolts of Egypt website written in 2011 were suggested that simply replacing Hosni Mubarak the country’s problems are resolved. However, no one suggested how these problems are solved, highlights.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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The author says that we should not be surprised by the current violence and the chaos that we see on the streets. Moreover, it considers that, given the chaotic state of the economy of Egypt, religious divisions and the immaturity of its political institutions, \u00abit would have been nothing short of a miracle\u00bb that the country \u00abnot would have finished in a total disaster\u00bb.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00abMany despised completely any Russian website about the Arab spring\u00bb, says the article, which argues that it is wrong to assume that if an analysis predicts that something is going to happen it means that so desired by the author of the same.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00abI don’t want that Egypt is in a perpetual state of violence and instability, but I always thought that this would be the most likely outcome,\u00bb he said.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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In conclusion, it says that, taking into account the terrible results of the Arab spring to date, we should be a little more skeptical about political movements and be more predisposed to hear different views on the subject.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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Tweet…………. \u00bfTen\u00eda Rusia raz\u00f3n sobre la primavera \u00e1rabe? ……. ……. Russia was right about the Arab spring? …… ……… RT Actualidad \/ Actualidad … .. Etnopaisaje.com + dibujos …. . .. . . Las predicciones sobre el caos econ\u00f3mico y pol\u00edtico y los conflictos religiosos que causar\u00eda la primavera \u00e1rabe, expuestas por los expertos rusos […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25540","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-etnopaisaje"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25540","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=25540"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25540\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25547,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25540\/revisions\/25547"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=25540"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=25540"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=25540"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}