{"id":25041,"date":"2013-07-06T20:33:03","date_gmt":"2013-07-06T18:33:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/?p=25041"},"modified":"2013-07-06T20:33:03","modified_gmt":"2013-07-06T18:33:03","slug":"ha-sufrido-europa-de-una-falta-de-liderazgo-aleman-durante-la-crisis-del-euro-has-europe-suffered-from-a-lack-of-german-leadership-during-the-euro-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/?p=25041","title":{"rendered":"Ha sufrido Europa de una falta de liderazgo alem\u00e1n durante la crisis del euro?.Has Europe suffered from a lack of German leadership during the euro crisis"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Ha sufrido<\/span><\/strong><\/span> Europa de una<\/span> falta de liderazgo<\/span> alem\u00e1n durante<\/span> la crisis del euro<\/span>?<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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Has Europe suffered from a lack of German leadership during the euro crisis<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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Etnopaisaje.com \u00a0+ \u00a0dibujos<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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Jun 18th 2013 | <\/span>Zanny Minton Beddoes <\/span><\/span> <\/span>\"http:\/\/media.economist.com\/debate\/img\/author_overlay_icon.png\"<\/span> <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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Over the past few years, Germany’s role within Europe has been transformed. The country this newspaper described as the \u00absick man of Europe\u00bb in 1999, has become the continent’s dominant power. Though the EU is officially a club of equals, Germany now has disproportionate heft. Angela Merkel, Germany’s chancellor, is Europe’s most important politician. For America and China, the question \u00abWhere is Europe going?\u00bb has become synonymous with \u00abWhat do the Germans want?\u00bb<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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That dominance is partly the function of Germany’s economic success. With a balanced budget, strong exports and an unemployment rate that is less than half the European average, its economy is envied around the world. Politically, Germany has gained from the weakness, or ambivalence, of other big players. France, the other half of the tandem traditionally at the core of the EU, is in unusually poor shape. Britain is outside the euro and consumed with a domestic debate about its very membership of the EU.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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But most important has been the euro crisis itself. Germany is the biggest creditor country in a debt crisis that has divided the euro area into debtors and creditors. That fiscal might has given it disproportionate influence both in determining Europe’s rescue responses and designing the future architecture of the single currency.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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Unfortunately, Germany is the dominant powering a region that is in deep trouble. Financial markets are calmer today than they were a year ago, but in other ways the mess is getting worse. The euro area as a whole is still in recession; much of Southern Europe is in a deep depression. Joblessness is dangerously high, and rising, especially for the young. \u00a0Progress towards building the economic \u00abarchitecture\u00bb essential for the single currency’s long-term future is stalling. Large majorities of people in Spain, Italy, Greece\u2014and even France\u2014believe European integration has harmed their economy.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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The juxtaposition of German heft and the festering euro crisis leads to one of the most important questions in Europe today: what is Germany’s role and responsibility in getting beyond the crisis and returning Europe to prosperity? German priorities have set the tone of Europe’s crisis response, from the focus on fiscal austerity, the unwillingness to countenance Eurobonds to, now, the reluctance to create a full banking union. But, more often than not, Germany has shaped outcomes by saying \u00abno\u00bb, rather than offering a plan for where Europe should go. Ms Merkel is a tactical, cautious, incremental politician. For understandable historical reasons, Germans are deeply reluctant to see themselves as international leaders. Germans’ preferred self-image is as a larger version of Switzerland: economically prosperous, but politically modest.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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Has Europe benefitted or suffered from Germany’s behaviour? Is Germany showing insufficient leadership or is it being too bossy? Has it behaved as a responsible leader or have German politicians been driven by short-sighted domestic considerations?<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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My own answers to these questions are laid out in a <\/span>special report<\/span><\/a> in this week’s Economist<\/em>. In this debate I look forward to a hearing from three outstanding analysts of German and European politics. Sony Kapoor of Re-Define will argue in favour of the motion. Jacob Kirkegaard of the Peterson Institute in Washington DC will argue against. We hope that you too will join the debate in our comments section in the coming days<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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Discurso de apertura del moderador<\/span><\/p>\n

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18 de junio 2013 | Zanny Minton Beddoes<\/span><\/span> <\/span>\"http:\/\/media.economist.com\/debate\/img\/author_overlay_icon.png\"<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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En los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os, el papel de Alemania en Europa se ha transformado. El pa\u00eds este peri\u00f3dico describi\u00f3 como el \u00abhombre enfermo de Europa\u00bb en 1999, se ha convertido en la potencia dominante del continente. Aunque la UE es oficialmente un club de iguales, Alemania ahora tiene influencia desproporcionada. Angela Merkel, canciller de Alemania, es el pol\u00edtico m\u00e1s importante de Europa. Para Estados Unidos y China, la pregunta \u00ab\u00bfHacia d\u00f3nde va Europa?\u00bb se ha convertido en sin\u00f3nimo de \u00ab\u00bfQu\u00e9 hacen los alemanes quieren?\u00bb<\/span><\/p>\n

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Ese dominio es en parte la funci\u00f3n del \u00e9xito econ\u00f3mico de Alemania. Con un presupuesto equilibrado, las fuertes exportaciones y una tasa de desempleo es inferior a la mitad de la media europea, su econom\u00eda es la envidia de todo el mundo. Pol\u00edticamente, Alemania se ha beneficiado de la debilidad o la ambivalencia, de otros grandes jugadores. Francia, la otra mitad del t\u00e1ndem tradicional en el centro de la UE, es inusual en mal estado. Gran Breta\u00f1a est\u00e1 fuera del euro y se consume con un debate interno sobre su propia adhesi\u00f3n a la UE.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Pero lo m\u00e1s importante ha sido la crisis del euro en s\u00ed. Alemania es el pa\u00eds acreedor m\u00e1s grande de una crisis de deuda que ha dividido a la zona del euro en los deudores y los acreedores. Eso podr\u00eda fiscal le ha dado una influencia desproporcionada, tanto en la determinaci\u00f3n de las respuestas de rescate de Europa y el dise\u00f1o de la arquitectura del futuro de la moneda \u00fanica.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Por desgracia, Alemania es el dominante en una regi\u00f3n que est\u00e1 en serios problemas. Los mercados financieros est\u00e1n m\u00e1s tranquilos de lo que eran hace un a\u00f1o, pero en otros el desorden es cada vez peor. La zona del euro en su conjunto est\u00e1 todav\u00eda en recesi\u00f3n, la mayor parte de Europa del Sur se encuentra en una profunda depresi\u00f3n. El desempleo es peligrosamente alta y en aumento, especialmente para los j\u00f3venes. El avance hacia la construcci\u00f3n de la \u00abarquitectura\u00bb econ\u00f3mica esencial para el futuro a largo plazo de la moneda \u00fanica se est\u00e1 estancando. Una gran mayor\u00eda de personas en Espa\u00f1a, Italia, Grecia, e incluso Francia-creen integraci\u00f3n europea ha da\u00f1ado su econom\u00eda.<\/span><\/p>\n

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La yuxtaposici\u00f3n de influencia alemana y la crisis del euro enconada conduce a una de las preguntas m\u00e1s importantes de la Europa de hoy: \u00bfcu\u00e1l es el papel y la responsabilidad de Alemania en ir m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de la crisis y devolver Europa a la prosperidad? Prioridades alemanas han establecido el tono de respuesta a la crisis de Europa, desde el enfoque de la austeridad fiscal, la falta de voluntad para aprobar los eurobonos, ahora, la renuencia a crear una uni\u00f3n bancaria completa. Pero, muy a menudo, Alemania tiene los resultados en forma de decir \u00abno\u00bb, en lugar de ofrecer un plan para que Europa debe ir. Merkel es una t\u00e1ctica, prudente, pol\u00edtico gradual. Por razones hist\u00f3ricas comprensibles, los alemanes son muy renuentes a verse a s\u00ed mismos como l\u00edderes internacionales. Propia imagen preferida alemanes es como una versi\u00f3n m\u00e1s grande de Suiza: econ\u00f3micamente pr\u00f3spera, pero pol\u00edticamente moderado.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Ha beneficiado a Europa o sufrido por el comportamiento de Alemania? Es Alemania mostrando liderazgo insuficiente o est\u00e1 siendo muy mandona? \u00bfSe ha comportado como un l\u00edder responsable y pol\u00edticos alemanes han sido impulsados \u200b\u200bpor consideraciones nacionales miopes?<\/span><\/p>\n

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Mis propias respuestas a estas preguntas se presentan en un informe especial<\/span><\/a> en el de esta semana Economista<\/em> . En este debate Espero a una audiencia de tres analistas destacados de la pol\u00edtica alemana y europea. Sony Kapoor de Re-Define argumentar\u00e1 a favor de la moci\u00f3n. Jacob Kirkegaard, del Instituto Peterson de Washington DC se argumentan en contra. Esperamos que usted tambi\u00e9n participar en el debate de los comentarios, en los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Tweet………….. Ha sufrido Europa de una falta de liderazgo alem\u00e1n durante la crisis del euro? ……………. Has Europe suffered from a lack of German leadership during the euro crisis …….. .. …………. …… Debate ……. .. Etnopaisaje.com \u00a0+ \u00a0dibujos … , , . The moderator’s opening remarks ….. ……. Jun 18th 2013 | Zanny Minton […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25041","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-etnopaisaje"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=25041"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25041\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25047,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25041\/revisions\/25047"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=25041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=25041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=25041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}