{"id":24445,"date":"2013-05-07T22:27:50","date_gmt":"2013-05-07T20:27:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/?p=24445"},"modified":"2013-05-07T22:27:50","modified_gmt":"2013-05-07T20:27:50","slug":"%c2%bfhasta-donde-puede-llegar-la-guerra-en-siria-do-far-can-the-war-in-syria","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/?p=24445","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfHasta d\u00f3nde puede llegar la guerra en Siria?.Do far can the war in Syria?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u00bfHasta d\u00f3nde puede llegar la guerra en Siria?<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

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Do far can the war in Syria?<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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Etnopaisaje.com<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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(CNN) \u2014 <\/strong>Luego de que el r\u00e9gimen sirio afirmara que Israel lanz\u00f3 un ataque nocturno<\/a> en la capital Damasco este domingo, el gobierno israel\u00ed ha tomado las medidas para defenderse contra las amenazas de represalias sobre lo que se cree es su segundo ataque en tres d\u00edas.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Israel coloc\u00f3 en posici\u00f3n bater\u00edas de intercepci\u00f3n de misiles a lo largo de su frontera<\/strong> norte y\u00a0cerr\u00f3 el espacio a\u00e9reo del norte a la aviaci\u00f3n civil,despu\u00e9s de que Siria prometi\u00f3 que \u201csufrir\u00eda\u201d por los supuestos ataques a\u00e9reos contra un supuesto \u00abcentro de investigaci\u00f3n cient\u00edfica\u00bb.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Israel se neg\u00f3 a comentar sobre los ataques reportados.<\/span><\/p>\n

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En una entrevista exclusiva con Frederick Pleitgen, de CNN, el vicecanciller sirio, Faisal al Mekdad, calific\u00f3 el supuesto ataque como una \u201cdeclaraci\u00f3n de guerra<\/strong>\u201d. Mientras tanto, los pa\u00edses aliados comenzaron las condenas, entre ellos Ir\u00e1n, que calific\u00f3 que los \u201cactos violentos\u201d podr\u00edan \u201cponer en peligro (la) seguridad de toda la regi\u00f3n<\/strong>\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00bfQu\u00e9 sabemos acerca del alcance de la intervenci\u00f3n de Israel?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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Sabemos que varias explosiones impactaron el centro de investigaci\u00f3n cient\u00edfica en Jamraya durante las primeras horas del domingo, con un saldo de 42 soldados sirios muertos, indic\u00f3 este lunes el opositor Observatorio Sirio para los Derechos Humanos, citando a fuentes m\u00e9dicas.<\/span><\/p>\n

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El observatorio agreg\u00f3 que 100 personas contin\u00faan desaparecidas. La agencia estatal siria de noticias Sana report\u00f3 que los primeros datos se\u00f1alaban que las explosiones fueron provocadas por cohetes israel\u00edes, a pesar de que Israel se niega a comentar sobre los ataques atribuidos a sus fuerzas armadas.<\/span><\/p>\n

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No es la primera vez que Israel ataca el lugar, de acuerdo con Sana, que se\u00f1al\u00f3 el ataque del 30 de enero.<\/span><\/p>\n

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En ese momento, un funcionario estadounidense dijo a CNN que la afirmaci\u00f3n era falsa, al decir que los aviones de combate israel\u00edes atacaron un convoy del gobierno sirio que portaba misiles tierra aire destinados al grupo militante Hezbol\u00e1, en L\u00edbano. Siria neg\u00f3 que hubiera tales env\u00edos.<\/span><\/p>\n

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La semana pasada, dos funcionarios estadounidenses respaldaron las afirmaciones sirias de que Israel llev\u00f3 a cabo ataques a\u00e9reos en el pa\u00eds el jueves o viernes, lo cual har\u00eda que el posible n\u00famero de ataques dentro del territorio sirio sea de tres, incluido el presunto ataque ocurrido este domingo.<\/span><\/p>\n

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El Ej\u00e9rcito liban\u00e9s y la Fuerza Interina de Naciones Unidas en L\u00edbano intensificaron este domingo su vigilancia a lo largo de la frontera con los territorios palestinos, seg\u00fan inform\u00f3 la agencia nacional de noticias del L\u00edbano.<\/span><\/p>\n

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La agencia report\u00f3 que las acciones se dieron tras las presuntas explosiones y la \u201cintensificaci\u00f3n del patrullaje por parte del ej\u00e9rcito israel\u00ed\u201d a lo largo de la \u2018L\u00ednea Azul\u2019 dentro de los territorios ocupados\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

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El Secretario General de Naciones Unidas, Ban Ki-Moon, ha instado a todas las partes a utilizar \u201cm\u00e1xima calma y moderaci\u00f3n\u201d, a pesar de que el vocero de Ban dijo en un comunicado emitido el domingo que Naciones Unidas no pudo \u201cverificar por su cuenta lo sucedido\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00bfDice algo Israel?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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La vieja pol\u00edtica de Israel ha sido negar realizar comentarios sobre las afirmaciones de ataques. Sin embargo, ha dicho con anterioridad<\/strong> que atacar\u00eda cualquier transferencia de armas a Hezbol\u00e1 y otros grupos terroristas, as\u00ed como cualquier intento de contrabando de armas sirias hacia L\u00edbano que pudieran amenazar a Israel.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Shaul Mofaz, legislador de la Knesset o parlamento de Israel, dijo el domingo a la Radio del Ej\u00e9rcito Israel\u00ed que su pa\u00eds no estaba entrometi\u00e9ndose en la guerra civil de Siria, pero insisti\u00f3 en que Israel debe protegerse a s\u00ed mismo de los militantes libaneses.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u201cPara Israel, es muy importante que se ponga un alto al grupo que defiende a Ir\u00e1n, el cual est\u00e1 en L\u00edbano (…) Hezbol\u00e1 est\u00e1 totalmente involucrado en lo que ocurre en Siria (…) Hezbol\u00e1 ayuda a los iran\u00edes a ir contra los rebeldes\u201d, agreg\u00f3 Mofaz.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00bfDe qu\u00e9 forma est\u00e1 involucrado Hezbol\u00e1 y cu\u00e1l es su relaci\u00f3n con Ir\u00e1n?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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Se cree que el punto central del asunto es el suministro de armas de Ir\u00e1n a Hezbol\u00e1 en L\u00edbano.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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Desde hace mucho tiempo Ir\u00e1n ha apoyado a Hezbol\u00e1 con financiamiento y armas<\/strong>, las cuales presuntamente se introducen de contrabando a trav\u00e9s de Siria con destino a la base de la organizaci\u00f3n libanesa. Tras el ataque del domingo, el canciller de Ir\u00e1n telefone\u00f3 a su hom\u00f3logo sirio y \u201celogi\u00f3 la resistencia por parte del gobierno sirio contra las tramas de los enemigos\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Hezbol\u00e1 es un grupo militante chiita considerado por Israel y Estados Unidos como una organizaci\u00f3n terrorista<\/strong>, aunque su brazo pol\u00edtico es un actor clave en el gobierno de L\u00edbano.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Se le ha vinculado con una serie de ataques contra Israel, EU y otros objetivos occidentales. En 2006, Israel y Hezbol\u00e1 sostuvieron una guerra de un mes en L\u00edbano<\/strong>, el norte de Israel y los Altos del Gol\u00e1n, la cual termin\u00f3 con un cese al fuego mediado por la ONU.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Israel indic\u00f3 que cuenta con informaci\u00f3n de que desde hace mucho tiempo Hezbol\u00e1 ha sido apoyado por el gobierno de Siria y de que a su vez, Hezbol\u00e1, ha apoyado al r\u00e9gimen sirio a lo largo de la guerra civil que se vive en ese pa\u00eds<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Se ha acusado a Hezbol\u00e1 de enviar combatientes a Siria para apoyar al r\u00e9gimen de Asad en el sur y en el suroeste, aunque ha negado dichas afirmaciones, al decir que hasta hace poco sus militantes comenzaron la defensa de los poblados fronterizos libaneses de los ataques de los rebeldes sirios.<\/span><\/p>\n

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En 2009, el diplom\u00e1tico estadounidense de mayor rango en Damasco revel\u00f3 que Siria hab\u00eda comenzado la entrega de misiles bal\u00edsticos a Hezbol\u00e1, seg\u00fan cables oficiales filtrados y publicados por WikiLeaks.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00bfQu\u00e9 tan reales son los temores de que esto pudiera conducir a una guerra regional en Medio Oriente?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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En este punto de la situaci\u00f3n a pocas partes les gustar\u00eda una ampliaci\u00f3n del conflicto, aunque la esperanza de resolverlo parece m\u00e1s distante que nunca.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u201cLa lucha en Siria no solo se ha extendido a los pa\u00edses vecinos de ese pa\u00eds, como L\u00edbano, Iraq, Jordania y Turqu\u00eda, sino que tambi\u00e9n se ha convertido en un campo de batalla en una zona en la que Israel e Ir\u00e1n se desaf\u00edan el uno al otro<\/strong>\u201d, seg\u00fan Fawaz Gerges, profesor de relaciones internacionales en la\u00a0London School of Economics<\/em>, en un art\u00edculo de opini\u00f3n para CNN.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Los analistas dicen que como parte del gobierno liban\u00e9s, el grupo (Hezbol\u00e1) arriesgar\u00eda mucho si respondiera a la agresi\u00f3n israel\u00ed mediante la fuerza.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Autoridades israel\u00edes pronostican que Al Asad no emprender\u00e1 represalias porque sus fuerzas ya est\u00e1n totalmente ocupadas y porque cualquier ataque contra Israel podr\u00eda derivar en un contrataque israel\u00ed que seriamente podr\u00eda minar algunas de sus ventajas en la guerra civil, como el poder a\u00e9reo.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u201cNo quieren abrir un nuevo frente que podr\u00eda ser el \u00faltimo que abren\u201d, dijo un funcionario militar israel\u00ed, bajo condici\u00f3n de permanecer en el anonimato. \u201cSufrir\u00edan un golpe de nocaut\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Las fuerzas armadas de Siria est\u00e1n agotadas por la guerra civil y no tendr\u00eda sentido abrir un nuevo frente contra los que militarmente se encuentran mejor equipados en la regi\u00f3n, a menos de que fuera en un intento desesperado por conseguir apoyo moral mientras se esfuma su moral al interior.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Sin embargo, a dos a\u00f1os de guerra civil siria, no parece que la soluci\u00f3n sea la militar. \u201cEs una guerra larga de desgaste, sin un final a la vista\u201d, escribi\u00f3 Gerges. \u201cNinguno de los contendientes internos pareciera tener los medios para dar un golpe decisivo.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u201cSolo una soluci\u00f3n pol\u00edtica pondr\u00e1 a fin al derramamiento de sangre siria y prevendr\u00e1 lo impensable: un conflicto a nivel regional conflicto que tendr\u00eda consecuencias catastr\u00f3ficas\u201d.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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(CNN)-<\/strong>Once the Syrian regime said that Israel launched a night attack<\/a> in the capital Damascus on Sunday, the israeli Government has taken measures to defend against the threats of retaliation over what is believed is his second attack in three days.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Israel placed in position interception of missile batteries along its northern border and shut down the airspace of North civil aviation, after Syria promised that it would \u00absuffer\u00bb by the alleged air raids against a so-called \u00abscientific research center\u00bb.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Israel refused to comment on the reported attacks.<\/span><\/p>\n

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In an exclusive interview with Frederick Pleitgen, CNN, the Syrian Deputy Foreign Minister, Faisal Mekdad the, called the alleged attack as a \u00abDeclaration of war\u00bb. Meanwhile, allied countries began sentences, among them Iran, which he described as that \u00abviolent acts\u00bb could \u00abendanger (the) security of the entire region\u00bb.<\/span><\/p>\n

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What do we know about the scope of the intervention of Israel?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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We know that several explosions struck the center of scientific research in Jamraya during the early hours of Sunday, with a balance of 42 Syrian soldiers killed, said Monday the opposition Syrian human rights observatory, quoting medical sources.<\/span><\/p>\n

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The Observatory said that 100 people are still missing. The Syrian State Sana news agency reported that first data indicated that the explosions were caused by Israeli rockets, while Israel refuses to comment on the attacks attributed to armed forces.<\/span><\/p>\n

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It is not the first time that Israel attacked the place, according to Sana, who said the attack on January 30.<\/span><\/p>\n

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At that time, a U.S. official told CNN that assertion was false, saying that the Israeli warplanes attacked a convoy of the Syrian Government that surface-to-air missiles intended for the militant group Hezbollah, in Lebanon. Syria denied that there was such shipments.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Last week, two U.S. officials supported the Syrian claims that Israel carried out airstrikes in the country on Thursday or Friday, which would make that possible attacks inside Syrian territory number is three, including the alleged attack occurred on Sunday.<\/span><\/p>\n

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The Lebanese army and the United Nations in Lebanon interim force intensified its vigilance along the border with the Palestinian territories, this Sunday national of the Lebanon News Agency reported.<\/span><\/p>\n

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The Agency reported that actions occurred after the alleged explosion and \u00abintensified patrols by the israeli army\u00bb along the ‘blue line’ within the occupied territories\u00bb.<\/span><\/p>\n

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The Secretary-General of the United Nations, Ban Ki-Moon, has urged all parties to use \u00abmaximum calmness and restraint,\u00bb while the spokesman for Ban said in a statement issued Sunday that United Nations not could \u00abVerify on your own what had happened\u00bb.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Israel does something?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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The old policy of Israel has been denying comment over the claims of attacks. However, it has said earlier that it would attack any transfer of weapons to Hezbollah and other terrorist groups, as well as any attempt at smuggling of Syrian arms into Lebanon that could threaten Israel.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Shaul Mofaz, legislator of the Knesset or Israel Parliament, said Sunday the Israeli Army Radio that his country was not meddling in the civil war in Syria, but insisted that Israel must protect himself from the Lebanese militants.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00abFor Israel, it is very important to put a halt to the group that defends Iran, which is in Lebanon (…) Hezbollah is completely involved in what happens in Syria (…) Hezbollah helps Iranians to go against the rebels,\u00bbadded Mofaz.<\/span><\/p>\n

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How Hizbollah is involved and what is their relationship with Iran?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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It is believed that the central point of the matter is the supply of weapons from Iran to Hezbollah in Lebanon.<\/span><\/p>\n

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For a long time Iran has supported with financing and weapons, which allegedly enter smuggled through Syria with destination to the base of the Lebanese organization Hezbollah. After the attack on Sunday, the Foreign Minister of Iran phoned his Syrian counterpart and \u00abpraised the resistance from the Syrian Government against the plots of enemies\u00bb.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Hezbollah is a Shiite militant group considered by Israel and the United States as a terrorist organization, although its political arm is a key player in the Government of Lebanon.<\/span><\/p>\n

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It has been linked with a series of attacks against Israel, us and other Western targets. In 2006, Israel and Hezbollah held a war of one month in Lebanon, northern Israel and the Golan Heights, which ended with a ceasefire mediated by the UN.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Israel indicated that it has information that long time Hezbollah has been supported by the Government of Syria and that at the same time, Hezbollah, has supported the Syrian regime over the civil war are living in that country.<\/span><\/p>\n

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It has accused Hezbollah of sending fighters to Syria to support the regime of Assad in the South and Southwest, although he has denied such claims, saying that until recently its militants began the defense of the Lebanese border villages of the Syrian rebel attacks.<\/span><\/p>\n

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In 2009, the largest American diplomat in Damascus revealed that Syria had begun delivery of ballistic missiles to Hezbollah, according to official cables leaked and published by WikiLeaks.<\/span><\/p>\n

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What so real are the fears that this could lead to a regional war in the Middle East?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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At this point in the situation to few parts an extension of the conflict, would like to but hope to resolve it seems more distant than ever.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00abThe struggle in Syria not only has spread to neighboring countries of that country, such as Lebanon, Iraq, Jordan and Turkey, but it has also become a battle field in a zone in which Israel and Iran are challenge to the other,\u00bb according to Fawaz Gerges, Professor of international relations at the London School of Economics<\/em>, in an opinion piece for CNN.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Analysts say that as part of the Lebanese Government, the Group (Hezbollah) would risk much if respond to the israeli aggression by force.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Israeli authorities are predicting that Al-Assad does not undertake reprisals because its forces are already fully occupied and because any attack against Israel could lead to an israeli counterattack that could seriously undermine some of its advantages in the civil war, as air power.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00abThey don’t want to open a new front that could be the last to open,\u00bb said an israeli military official, on condition of remaining anonymous. \u00abThey would suffer a knockout blow.\u00bb<\/span><\/p>\n

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Syria’s armed forces are depleted by the civil war and it wouldn’t make sense open a new front against the militarily are better equipped in the region, unless it was in a desperate attempt to get moral support while their morale inside is gone.<\/span><\/p>\n

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However, two years of Syria’s civil war, not it seems that the solution is the military. \u00abIt is a long war of attrition, without an end in sight,\u00bb wrote Gerges. \u00abNone of the internal contenders seems to have the means to give a decisive blow.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00abOnly a political solution will end the Syrian bloodshed and will prevent the unthinkable: a conflict to regional conflict that would have catastrophic consequences\u00bb.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Tweet…….. …….. \u00bfHasta d\u00f3nde puede llegar la guerra en Siria? ………….. … Do far can the war in Syria? …………….. …………. ……………….. Etnopaisaje.com ….. ……. … . . . .. (CNN) \u2014 Luego de que el r\u00e9gimen sirio afirmara que Israel lanz\u00f3 un ataque nocturno en la capital Damasco este domingo, el gobierno israel\u00ed ha […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24445","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-flora","category-etnopaisaje"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24445","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=24445"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24445\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24451,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24445\/revisions\/24451"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=24445"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=24445"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.floracantabrica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=24445"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}